tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-286982422024-03-06T21:53:59.063-07:00Stock GeometryWelcome to Stock Geometry! This casual music and financial blog typically involves posts of music videos and candlestick stock charts looking at intermediate term trends. Think MTV meets CNBC. My positions fluctuate, but I’ll always disclose positions in posted stocks. You are responsible for your investments! – Dr. pythagoruzpythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.comBlogger1013125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28698242.post-15366573048115395082021-03-13T14:29:00.006-07:002021-03-13T14:48:03.535-07:00Saturday Rock Blog: Steal Gold Away<div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhaUPUwXMVymfR3B0cjcW4A6tAeAogsSGK1b7YZhJYWHQV_GkOZTBomW6TWvsc8V-PtonXCeueiZBFnZc-s1dy6F1-FrK8XFusHAx8yPrDWWPUtMNF8_zSCdWXGrLje_bNrecPi/s832/GLD+weekly+031221.png" style="display: block; padding: 1em 0px; text-align: center;"><img alt="" border="0" data-original-height="636" data-original-width="832" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhaUPUwXMVymfR3B0cjcW4A6tAeAogsSGK1b7YZhJYWHQV_GkOZTBomW6TWvsc8V-PtonXCeueiZBFnZc-s1dy6F1-FrK8XFusHAx8yPrDWWPUtMNF8_zSCdWXGrLje_bNrecPi/s400/GLD+weekly+031221.png" width="400" /></a></div>
Gold looks bullish to me. The important levels are seen in this three year weekly chart, $120, $140, $160, and $180. In other words, right here at $160 looks like a great buy. Target $180 initially, then alot higher. <div><br /></div><div>Disclosure: I'm Long GLD and GDX</div><div><br /></div><div>
<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/KPZv1KIaP1s" width="445"></iframe></div>pythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28698242.post-85162427216583239532019-06-16T06:19:00.001-06:002021-03-13T14:45:52.472-07:00Father's Day Rock Blog: Bull Market AnthemsDespite the naysayers over the years, this bull market is never really over:
<iframe width="445" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/aEb5gNsmGJ8" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen></iframe>pythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28698242.post-26644939657943578022018-08-18T12:16:00.001-06:002018-08-18T12:16:15.391-06:00Saturday Rock Blog: Armand van Helden<iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="270" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/mdrGqb6xRRY" width="480"></iframe>pythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28698242.post-55611542560160688362018-05-19T08:21:00.001-06:002018-05-19T08:25:41.601-06:00Saturday Rock Blog: Game NOT Over<iframe allow="autoplay; encrypted-media" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/e0T0rI-GiR4" width="445"></iframe><br />
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<span style="text-align: start;">Super IWM breakout, this game is not over. Extremely bullish consolidation/continuation pattern (<a href="http://thepatternsite.com/st.html">symmetric triangle</a>) targets ~$174. </span></div>
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<span style="text-align: start;">Disclosure: I am long TNA and IWM calls.</span></div>
pythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28698242.post-64870959874236407882018-03-18T13:57:00.000-06:002018-03-18T13:57:36.249-06:00Sunday Rock Blog: Fallin' Up<iframe width="445" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/YN9muHLuHDc" frameborder="0" allow="autoplay; encrypted-media" allowfullscreen></iframe><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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Disclosure: I own ICE calls.pythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28698242.post-49736915250168077432018-03-04T12:50:00.000-07:002018-03-04T12:51:04.632-07:00Nasdaq 100 Cup n' Handle, QQQ to $190<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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pythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28698242.post-42558309188679503042018-03-04T12:35:00.000-07:002018-03-04T12:35:26.292-07:00Saturday Rock Blog: Ascend<iframe width="445" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/MVxh92lf_EU" frameborder="0" allow="autoplay; encrypted-media" allowfullscreen></iframe>pythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28698242.post-30377648790062330822018-02-10T09:39:00.002-07:002018-02-11T20:54:03.895-07:00Saturday Rock Blog: This Bull Market Drives Me Crazy<div style="text-align: center;">
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Its been a while since I've posted, and as you can probably guess.. my bets paid off big time. The market did pretty much what I have been posting about for the past couple of years. Almost every target was met, and I was mostly good about taking profits. The most recent sell off caught me, like most, but I see it as a healthy correction. Honestly, I was pleased by how quickly it happened and now appears to be in the rear view mirror. This looks like a textbook <a href="http://thepatternsite.com/abc.html">simple ABC correction</a>.<iframe allow="autoplay; encrypted-media" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/UtvmTu4zAMg" width="445"></iframe><br />
I do think that the best/biggest moves up in the markets are yet to come. Violent corrections like the one we just saw have a tendency to clean up the market (by washing out over-leverged longs, rope in perma bears, VIX sellers, etc) better than slow and steady market corrections. Everything I look for in a market correction is right there in the charts. We pulled back to the 50 dma's, tested, failed it (fine), and then very rapidly pulled back to the 200 dma's. Almost every major index pulled back ~10% after years without a >5% correction (great). This is how I see things playing out with IWM: rapid push to the highs, followed by a pullback to the 50 dma, then rip to new highs.<br />
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The IWM indicators are showing more bullish divergences than SPY or QQQ, and I do think IWM's time in the sun is coming. It has under-performed but that should change given the economic fundamentals. The candles look great, the volume and other indicators look bullish. I think the days of +0.5% up are over, and we are entering the crazy town phase of the bull market where stocks go up >1-2% on up days.
Buckle up... This party is just getting started, don't miss the best part. Capitation (hardcore melt-up upside) is coming, and it will be surprise everyone to the upside.<br />
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Disclosure: I own IWM, SPY, and QQQ calls.<br />
Assuming we do see new highs, my 2018 targets will then be: IWM: $176 (probably underestimated), SPY: $321, QQQ: $190pythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28698242.post-42329225474381498682017-12-03T10:32:00.000-07:002017-12-03T10:50:10.806-07:00Sunday Rock Blog: Last Friday Night in DC<iframe width="445" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/KlyXNRrsk4A" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjUAaBm0ISXuBa7RrXH4NSHpeZhSZjj1nX352ePzHQL5iidUD-nb-CDuhmFqJb-N6acMclxUVP5EQL5YEAfYlsdZNxnsNCsYQ8zNCyEC9fpe7OOvmNJvjZuNz0sJjSl1ysvmBBV/s1600/SPY+120317.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjUAaBm0ISXuBa7RrXH4NSHpeZhSZjj1nX352ePzHQL5iidUD-nb-CDuhmFqJb-N6acMclxUVP5EQL5YEAfYlsdZNxnsNCsYQ8zNCyEC9fpe7OOvmNJvjZuNz0sJjSl1ysvmBBV/s400/SPY+120317.png" width="400" height="305" data-original-width="829" data-original-height="633" /></a></div>With stocks set to 'melt up' into the end of 2017 in the most epic 'Santa Claus' rally of all time, the market is beautifully bullish charts galore. There's almost no point in posting a chart because they all look like great buys. Its is truly a sight to behold and one of those rare times when unbridled 'uber mega bullishness' is warranted.<br />
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Ok I'll say it, we are in a bubble! The problem with bubbles is that they get better and better until they don't, and when they don't its a massacre. So enjoy it while it lasts! Will it last into 2018? Almost certainly. Will it pop in 2018? Maybe. No one knows, but I want to see interest rates alot higher, and the actual effects of fiscal stimulus felt, before I will call a top.<br />
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Anyone who wants to call a top here based on charts should simply look at bitcoin and ask themselves where the top was. I do think we are in for a lot more upside here, especially now that congress is finally getting its act together. With the passage of the most significant fiscal stimulus in 30 years, the markets should have support to rip higher into 2018. The bars and houses in DC Republican homes must have been quite the party on Friday night, after the bill finally passed at 2am ET.<br />
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Disclosure: I own calls on SPY, IWM, QQQ, and many other stocks.pythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28698242.post-74541335743911758792017-11-11T12:08:00.001-07:002017-11-11T12:17:00.383-07:00Saturday Rock Blog: Happy Birthday ICE<iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/inS9gAgSENE" width="445"></iframe>
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ICE <a href="http://www.nasdaq.com/markets/ipos/company/intercontinental-exchange-holdings-inc-665311-43762">went public</a> on Nov. 16th, 2005 at a split-adjusted price of $5.2. With ICE currently in the $66 range, it's rallied almost 1200% in the past twelve years!<br />
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WOW! The company has really delivered on growth.<br />
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It still looks bullish to me. Disclosure: I own ICE calls.<br />
<iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/jqYxyd1iSNk" width="445"></iframe>pythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28698242.post-9980493834167604122017-10-28T10:43:00.000-06:002017-10-28T10:47:12.267-06:00Saturday Rock Blog: Bull Market Thriller<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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Disclosure: I own IWM calls. Market looks gorgeous, gotta be long in times like these. Happy Halloween!pythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28698242.post-25146231313915277442017-04-22T18:10:00.002-06:002017-04-22T18:10:26.914-06:00Record Store Day Rock Blog: Badfish<iframe width="445" height="250" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/rmadSGJCzo8?list=FLlFELk9AJs9VxJg0AhBzPgg" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>pythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28698242.post-87066368636650521302017-04-22T17:59:00.000-06:002017-04-22T17:59:25.493-06:00Science Day Rock Blog: She Blinded Me with Science<iframe width="445" height="250" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/Y2VNxmn0lNA" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>pythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28698242.post-61952627949226037972017-03-19T11:18:00.003-06:002017-03-19T11:19:37.718-06:00Saturday Rock Blog: Shipping Up to Boston (BSX)<iframe width="445" height="250" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/x-64CaD8GXw?list=FLlFELk9AJs9VxJg0AhBzPgg" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh6FJRYc2rZnRZvvQoJWz8BxKKc27lE5mGTpi3JdwkRHp8YAABR0pIwQg3CaOehWCAo2YVGgnNz3oPCxxXgN-ymOHnYa_HOgrqzViEnqF7lx_TrL9tuUKmoaZWKgmNV1o9UajIA/s1600/BSX+031917.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh6FJRYc2rZnRZvvQoJWz8BxKKc27lE5mGTpi3JdwkRHp8YAABR0pIwQg3CaOehWCAo2YVGgnNz3oPCxxXgN-ymOHnYa_HOgrqzViEnqF7lx_TrL9tuUKmoaZWKgmNV1o9UajIA/s400/BSX+031917.png" width="400" height="306" /></a></div>
Disclosure: I have no position in BSX currently. Looks bullish.pythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28698242.post-23785901862092283652017-03-11T17:18:00.001-07:002017-03-11T17:19:04.391-07:00Saturday Rock Blog: I Feel It Coming<iframe width="445" height="250" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/qFLhGq0060w?list=FLlFELk9AJs9VxJg0AhBzPgg" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
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Disclosure: I own ICE callspythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28698242.post-60847073743873704262017-02-18T19:00:00.001-07:002017-02-19T12:19:30.600-07:00Saturday Rock Blog: Big Poppa (Q's)<iframe width="435" height="245" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/phaJXp_zMYM?list=FLlFELk9AJs9VxJg0AhBzPgg" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
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This market is just, wow. Amazing. Seems to be just getting started again. The 1.5 yr pattern on the weekly QQQ chart above targets about $143, which is about 10% higher. Many folks, now convinced the rally is real, want a pullback so they can get in. I see this running away from them, with the rally intensifying. People will start to panic buy and then we'll form a capitulation top. Still not there yet. Watch for several >2% up days in a row.
Disclosure: I own QQQ calls. Good luck!pythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28698242.post-1539561306973468342017-02-04T13:07:00.001-07:002017-02-04T13:07:34.198-07:00Saturday Rock Blog: You Never Can Tell<iframe width="445" height="250" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/L-Ds-FXGGQg" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
<iframe width="445" height="250" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/Ik-RsDGPI5Y" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>pythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28698242.post-61882839818766033272016-12-31T17:43:00.001-07:002016-12-31T17:44:10.810-07:00New Year's Eve Rock Blog: Party in the USA<iframe width="445" height="250" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/M11SvDtPBhA?list=FLlFELk9AJs9VxJg0AhBzPgg" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>pythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28698242.post-45759817331470885092016-12-10T11:12:00.001-07:002016-12-10T11:12:38.697-07:00Saturday Rock Blog: Side to Side<iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/LXVLyu6FjFk" width="445"></iframe>pythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28698242.post-33343136133601335262016-11-21T18:20:00.003-07:002016-11-21T18:22:01.207-07:00Post-Election Rock Blog: Small Cap Starboy<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgGOeaA8EYz1kZLFLsuLBN6GheLnbHVUHg1XY607Ns7xXSOC9Dy5lg-VR-fht7e10xdUYdRiMfh60o1nVc_WYoDcfMHqXaLD-6HXaovbV63IVFIFcHA9BxKWiGW6F1bOC7gxFRa/s1600/IWM+112116.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="302" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgGOeaA8EYz1kZLFLsuLBN6GheLnbHVUHg1XY607Ns7xXSOC9Dy5lg-VR-fht7e10xdUYdRiMfh60o1nVc_WYoDcfMHqXaLD-6HXaovbV63IVFIFcHA9BxKWiGW6F1bOC7gxFRa/s400/IWM+112116.png" width="400" /></a></div>
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Stunning move following the election. We're probably due for a pullback at some point but there's plenty of room to run over the next year or two. Congrats to the bulls on this amazing rally in the small caps. Finally!</div>
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<iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/34Na4j8AVgA" width="425"></iframe>pythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28698242.post-85430121605533996962016-10-02T12:18:00.000-06:002016-10-02T12:40:53.949-06:00Sunday Rock Blog: Once In a While We Enter Raging Bull Market Mode (IWM)<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh-t_L-0BzMpu5bEdSCAeak192RwzYMK0sIR8zrSXZo3FUkIDho2FQhyphenhyphenPKaJIiI1LWcsMc3G7C0WchikAWdGDjt3Z28dUwHWNA2d0Z0Jj4JS4msE6gEpcuwKgl-JzzHgdllmRQT/s1600/IWM+100216.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="298" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh-t_L-0BzMpu5bEdSCAeak192RwzYMK0sIR8zrSXZo3FUkIDho2FQhyphenhyphenPKaJIiI1LWcsMc3G7C0WchikAWdGDjt3Z28dUwHWNA2d0Z0Jj4JS4msE6gEpcuwKgl-JzzHgdllmRQT/s400/IWM+100216.png" width="400" /></a></div>
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Looks like last leg up in this new bubble/bull market is getting started. Bull markets usually have the biggest gains at the beginning and the end. Remember what it was like in 2008-2010 after the lows? I bet the fed will have to radically raise interest rates before this is over, and clearly we're a ways from that. The fed continues to take the attitude that asset prices are not in bubble territory (yet). We are at least one year out from that, probably more like 2-3 years out. I think the upside could get pretty crazy, more so than the dot com bubble. I've been looking at charts all morning and they all look bullish. Small caps lead, and it looks they'll break out to new all time highs soon ($126+). I'm going to load up on calls. As a side note, if Hillary gets elected Wall street will love it, they'll go bonkers. Santa Claus rally of a generation coming.<br />
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"<b style="background-color: #f9f9f9; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22.4px;">Wave 5:</b><span style="background-color: #f9f9f9; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22.4px;"> Wave five is the final leg in the direction of the dominant trend. The news is almost universally positive and everyone is bullish. Unfortunately, this is when many average investors finally buy in, right before the top. Volume is often lower in wave five than in wave three, and many momentum indicators start to show divergences (prices reach a new high but the indicators do not reach a new peak). At the end of a major bull market, bears may very well be ridiculed (recall how forecasts for a top in the stock market during 2000 were received).</span>" <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elliott_wave_principle">-from Wikipedia</a><br />
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Full Disclosure: I am long small caps, including IWM via stock and options.pythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28698242.post-52974441390471031012016-06-08T23:38:00.001-06:002016-06-08T23:51:11.521-06:00Wednesday Rock Blogging: The Road Goes on Forever and the Party Never Ends<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjrpvL7wNo_RDivrZg9u3HVZi9saaSigmIi0XXvuYyQbYk3IMBGimdpQTBH9orTxRPRVsaGxhg2CE4KD7g80G_5KPd7EEUDHODgwpqSCYLYoH_PCZLG8UlLzSgW1nUg0-Ebpdta/s1600/IWM+060816.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjrpvL7wNo_RDivrZg9u3HVZi9saaSigmIi0XXvuYyQbYk3IMBGimdpQTBH9orTxRPRVsaGxhg2CE4KD7g80G_5KPd7EEUDHODgwpqSCYLYoH_PCZLG8UlLzSgW1nUg0-Ebpdta/s400/IWM+060816.png" /></a>
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Disclosure: LONG, LONG, long<br />
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pythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28698242.post-32828153610807175772015-12-10T19:07:00.000-07:002015-12-10T19:07:11.562-07:00Thursday Rock Blog: Walk & Don't Look Back<iframe width="440" height="330" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/3o4Fgh0KW_4" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>pythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28698242.post-67180572267271458862015-11-07T15:19:00.000-07:002015-11-07T15:19:00.640-07:00Saturday Rock Blog: I Love Music<iframe width="440" height="330" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/X_5uh2og3yM" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>pythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28698242.post-33585167313916989452015-10-04T11:22:00.001-06:002015-10-04T11:22:47.103-06:00Sunday Rock Blogging: Air That I Breath<iframe width="445" height="334" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/HydvceA1PAI" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>pythagoruzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06890155470782351043noreply@blogger.com0